Chart of the Day: Saint Paul Projected Population and Employment

Here’s a chart from the recently released Saint Paul Market Watch report, that the city produces a few times every year. (Minneapolis has a similar one.)

 

stp-pop-employment-projections

 

It’s interesting to see how population and employment move in relation to each other, I suppose.

9 thoughts on “Chart of the Day: Saint Paul Projected Population and Employment

  1. David LevinsonDavid Levinson

    Graphically yuck. 2010 to 2012 or 2013 is given equal spacing to the time between 2000 and 2010. This should not be drawn the way it is, and is at best misleading, though I will assume incompetence rather than malice.

  2. Andrew Andrusko

    I know at some point I’ve come across a similar graph that showed population variation over time since the founding of the City. Beyond the haphazard units on the scale of the X-axis, what is the underlying assumption that the City and/or Employment will continue to grow between 2012 – 2030? Rhetorically, isn’t this just a positive outlook posing as an overly optimistic projection that does not take into account structural variation in population and/or employment…

  3. Matt Brillhart

    Regarding the last two comments by David and Andrew, one does have to wonder if Saint Paul has an actual plan for accommodating/allowing population growth. The Green Line will certainly spur quite a bit on its own, but I’m afraid that development in many neighborhoods that could actually support new market rate housing are going to NIMBY the heck out of any proposals for medium-to-high density . The areas I’m thinking are Highland, Merriam Park, St. Anthony Park (north), and basically the entire Grand Avenue corridor. Downtown seems to be adding a decent number of new housing units, especially if the Post Office “Custom House” proposal goes through. 40,000 more residents by 2030 seems impossible even under the rosiest of economic forecasts. I suppose the Ford site could help a bit with that.

  4. Lee Ward

    I don’ t know if I trust these speculative and very hopeful projections. The most recent concrete fact based date, that being the 10 year federal census showed that St Paul is actually shrinking and losing population down some -1.3% in the last 10 years as people and I dare say businesses flee the city.

    1. Zach Pasdoe

      Look who is actually leaving the city Lee Ward – white people. According to the 1980 Census, there were 239,341 Non-Hispanic Whites living in St. Paul. By 2010 there were 159,437. During the same period the black population grew by 36,092, the Hispanic population grew by 19,447, and the Asian population grew by 42,285. It’s easy for former WHITE St. Paulites and / or suburbanites to talk about what’s wrong with St. Paul or what the city should be doing. They need to address the real issue first – the fact that white Minnesotans are still afraid of minorities before they chime in about what they think is going on.

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