Per NACTO’s new study:
- In 2018, people took 36.5 million trips on station-based bike share systems and 38.5 million trips on shared e-scooters.
- In 2018, e-scooters overtook bikes as the preferred vehicle for dockless vendors.
- Dockless pedal (non-electric) bikes, which quickly proliferated across the U.S. in 2017, have largely disappeared from North American cities, with just 3 million trips in a handful of cities in 2018.
We are seeing trends in this direction locally, with bike share leaving St. Paul in 2019.
NACTO’s full report discusses the full breakdown of trips, system size and the uncertain future of various bike-share and scooter-share fleets in various cities.
This chart makes it seem like scooters trips (mostly) are not replacing bicycle trips, but rather that they are in addition to bicycle trips. Hopefully, the scooter trips come at the expense of car trips.
It seems most likely that scooter trips are replacing walking trips. At least that’s what I saw around the University of Minnesota.